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Grêmio, this season at 90 minutes: 9W 10D 15L against Bahia, this season at 90 minutes: 14W 11D 9L

Brazil Serie A · Wed, Nov 18 7:30 PM ET

Grêmio
+12741%
Draw
+24526%
Bahia
+18033%

90 minutes · 4 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over −143 Under +108

The market makes Grêmio 41% / draw 26% / Bahia 33%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (4 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
GrêmioDrawBahia
+12741%+24526%+18033%

Total goals4 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.52 sportsbooks−50080%+31020%
2.5most posted−14356%+10844%
2.75quarter line−112no fair chance−106no fair chance
3.51 sportsbook+172no fair chance−217no fair chance
4.51 sportsbook+387no fair chance−547no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−18660%+12540%

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
GrêmioBahia
−132no fair chance−109no fair chance

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Grêmio or drawGrêmio or BahiaDraw or Bahia
−23567%−35074%−17559%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapGrêmioBahia
GRE −0.52 sportsbooks+11042%−17558%
GRE −0.25most posted−10347%−14353%
GRE +0.51 sportsbook−254no fair chance+202no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 4 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookGrêmioDrawBahiaRead
BetMGM+138+260+1807 min ago
BetRivers+138+235+1607 min ago
DraftKings+125+245+1907 min ago
Pinnacle+127+260+2067 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetRivers−143+1087 min ago
DraftKings−155+1057 min ago
Pinnacle−140+1167 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM−175+1257 min ago
BetRivers−186+1257 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookGrêmioBahiaRead
BetRivers−132−1097 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookGrêmio or drawGrêmio or BahiaDraw or BahiaRead
BetMGM−235−350−1757 min ago
BetRivers−230−360−1957 min ago
Pinnacle−254−328−1537 min ago
Asian handicap −0.25
SportsbookGrêmio −0.25Bahia +0.25Read
BetRivers+108−1437 min ago
Pinnacle−103−1147 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 1:12 AM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
GREWhatBAH
Grêmio, 2W 1D 2L:
  1. Drew 1–1 at home to Internacional, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  2. Lost 2–4 at home to Cruzeiro, Brazil Serie A, Oct 18
  3. Won 1–0 away to Coritiba, Brazil Serie A, Oct 26
  4. Won 2–0 at home to Athletico Paranaense, Brazil Serie A, Oct 29
  5. Lost 1–3 away to Flamengo, Brazil Serie A, Nov 4
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Bahia, 2W 1D 2L:
  1. Won 1–0 at home to Mirassol, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  2. Lost 0–3 at home to Flamengo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 18
  3. Drew 1–1 away to Santos, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  4. Won 3–2 at home to São Paulo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 28
  5. Lost 2–3 away to Cruzeiro, Brazil Serie A, Nov 5
9–10–15, 34 gamesWon–drawn–lost14–11–9, 34 games
1.1, 34 gamesGoals scored a game1.5, 34 games
1.4, 34 gamesGoals allowed a game1.3, 34 games
11.9, 34 games; allowed 15.8Shots a game14.2, 34 games; allowed 15.1
3.8, 34 games; allowed 5.0Shots on target a game4.6, 34 games; allowed 5.6
49%, 34 gamesPossession54%, 34 games
4.6, 34 games; allowed 5.5Corners a game5.7, 34 games; allowed 6.1
13.3, 34 games; allowed 13.4Fouls a game14.0, 34 games; allowed 13.9
2.5, 34 games; allowed 2.4Yellow cards a game2.2, 34 games; allowed 2.6

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

Player lines

123 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

To score33

  1. Carlos ViníciusGRE · FOver 0.5 goals33% of 49+1553 sportsbooks
  2. Willian JoséBAH · FOver 0.5 goals21% of 57+2003 sportsbooks
  3. Alejo VelizBAH · FOver 0.5 goals17% of 75+2103 sportsbooks
  4. EveraldoBAH · FOver 0.5 goals15% of 84+2203 sportsbooks
  5. Martin BraithwaiteGRE · FOver 0.5 goals21% of 61+2203 sportsbooks
  6. Jovane CabralGRE · FOver 0.5 goals15% of 59+2403 sportsbooks
Every goalscorer line in Props, this game

Shots on Target27

  1. EveraldoBAH · FOver 0.5 shots on target36% of 84−2003 sportsbooks
  2. Jovane CabralGRE · FOver 0.5 shots on target42% of 59−1903 sportsbooks
  3. José EnamoradoGRE · FOver 0.5 shots on target17% of 29−1433 sportsbooks
  4. Cristian OliveraBAH · FOver 0.5 shots on target51% of 72−1303 sportsbooks
  5. AdemirBAH · FOver 0.5 shots on target36% of 91−1293 sportsbooks
  6. Erick PulgaBAH · FOver 0.5 shots on target46% of 57−1213 sportsbooks
Every shots on target line in Props, this game
All 123 player lines in Props, this game