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São Paulo, this season at 90 minutes: 12W 8D 14L against Fluminense, this season at 90 minutes: 16W 9D 9L

Brazil Serie A · Thu, Nov 19 7:30 PM ET

São Paulo
+13540%
Draw
+22029%
Fluminense
+20531%

90 minutes · 3 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over +112 Under −136

The market makes São Paulo 40% / draw 29% / Fluminense 31%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (3 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São PauloDrawFluminense
+13540%+22029%+20531%

Total goals3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.51 sportsbook−286no fair chance+221no fair chance
2.25quarter line−116no fair chance−102no fair chance
2.5most posted+11245%−13655%
3.51 sportsbook+279no fair chance−373no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Both teams to score1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
−122no fair chance−108no fair chance

Draw no bet1 sportsbook

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São PauloFluminense
−148no fair chance+122no fair chance

Double chance2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
São Paulo or drawSão Paulo or FluminenseDraw or Fluminense
−28069%−30571%−17360%

Asian handicap3 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapSão PauloFluminense
SAO −0.52 sportsbooks+12040%−18060%
SAO −0.25most posted+10047%−12553%
SAO +0.51 sportsbook−256no fair chance+204no fair chance

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 3 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookSão PauloDrawFluminenseRead
Bovada+135+220+2055 min ago
DraftKings+130+220+2006 min ago
Pinnacle+142+227+2076 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
Bovada+113−1365 min ago
DraftKings+100−1456 min ago
Pinnacle+112−1366 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
Bovada−122−1085 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookSão PauloFluminenseRead
Bovada−148+1225 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookSão Paulo or drawSão Paulo or FluminenseDraw or FluminenseRead
Bovada−280−305−1735 min ago
Pinnacle−256−281−1726 min ago
Asian handicap −0.25
SportsbookSão Paulo −0.25Fluminense +0.25Read
Bovada+100−1205 min ago
Pinnacle+107−1256 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 7:52 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
SAOWhatFLU
São Paulo, 2W 2D 1L:
  1. Won 2–1 at home to Vitória, Brazil Serie A, Oct 10
  2. Won 1–0 at home to Vasco da Gama, Brazil Serie A, Oct 17
  3. Drew 1–1 away to Mirassol, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  4. Lost 2–3 away to Bahia, Brazil Serie A, Oct 28
  5. Drew 0–0 at home to Corinthians, Brazil Serie A, Nov 4
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Fluminense, 2W 0D 3L:
  1. Lost 0–1 away to Flamengo, Brazil Serie A, Oct 11
  2. Lost 1–2 at home to Santos, Brazil Serie A, Oct 18
  3. Lost 1–2 away to Chapecoense, Brazil Serie A, Oct 24
  4. Won 2–1 at home to Internacional, Brazil Serie A, Oct 28
  5. Won 3–0 away to Vitória, Brazil Serie A, Nov 6
12–8–14, 34 gamesWon–drawn–lost16–9–9, 34 games
1.1, 34 gamesGoals scored a game1.6, 34 games
1.1, 34 gamesGoals allowed a game1.2, 34 games
13.7, 34 games; allowed 12.7Shots a game14.7, 34 games; allowed 12.7
4.2, 34 games; allowed 3.8Shots on target a game5.6, 34 games; allowed 4.7
53%, 34 gamesPossession59%, 34 games
6.9, 34 games; allowed 4.9Corners a game5.4, 34 games; allowed 4.7
14.4, 34 games; allowed 13.8Fouls a game13.6, 34 games; allowed 13.2
2.2, 34 games; allowed 2.4Yellow cards a game2.3, 34 games; allowed 2.6

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

São Paulo +130 → +135 since first seen

  • São Paulo+130 → +135
  • Draw+220 → +220
  • Fluminense+205 → +205

Both teams to score

No −114 → −108 since first seen

  • Yes−122 → −122
  • No−114 → −108

Draw no bet

Fluminense +106 → +122 since first seen

  • São Paulo−155 → −148
  • Fluminense+106 → +122

Double chance

No move since first seen

  • São Paulo or draw−280 → −280
  • São Paulo or Fluminense−305 → −305
  • Draw or Fluminense−173 → −173

Player lines

173 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

To score55

  1. Gustavo SantanaSAO · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsPricePast games: 10% of 10+1501 sportsbook
  2. Jonathan CalleriSAO · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsPricePast games: 24% of 58+1751 sportsbook
  3. LucianoSAO · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsPricePast games: 30% of 90+1751 sportsbook
  4. HulkFLU · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsPricePast games: 24% of 84+2101 sportsbook
  5. Germán CanoFLU · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsPricePast games: 17% of 59+2251 sportsbook
  6. TetêSAO · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsPricePast games: 0% of 5+2251 sportsbook
Every goalscorer line in Props, this game

Assists5

  1. ArturSAO · FOver 0.5 assistsRecent hitsPricePast games: 11% of 55+3301 sportsbook
  2. Agustín CanobbioFLU · FOver 0.5 assistsRecent hitsPricePast games: 9% of 75+4001 sportsbook
  3. André OliveiraSAO · MOver 0.5 assistsRecent hitsPricePast games: 6% of 66+4501 sportsbook
  4. AlissonFLU · MOver 0.5 assistsRecent hitsPricePast games: 7% of 60+6501 sportsbook
  5. BezerraSAO · MOver 0.5 assistsRecent hitsNo logPrice+10001 sportsbook
Every assists line in Props, this game
All 173 player lines in Props, this game