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Independiente, this season at 90 minutes: 11W 11D 10L against Riestra, this season at 90 minutes: 3W 14D 14L

Argentina Liga Profesional · Tomorrow 5:15 PM ET

Independiente
−16259%
Draw
+26026%
Riestra
+47515%

90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 2.5: Over +140 Under −191

The market makes Independiente 59% / draw 26% / Riestra 15%. Research, not a pick.How

Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.

We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.

Lines

every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdated

Result (90 min)5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Result (90 min): each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
IndependienteDrawRiestra
−16259%+26026%+47515%

Total goals5 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Total goals: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
GoalsOverUnder
1.52 sportsbooks−21064%+14536%
22 sportsbooks−11451%−10849%
2.5most posted+14038%−19162%
3.51 sportsbook+389no fair chance−585no fair chance

Both teams to score3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Both teams to score: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
YesNo
+14038%−19362%

Draw no bet2 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Draw no bet: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
IndependienteRiestra
−50079%+28021%

Double chance3 sportsbooks

Barely moved since our first read

Double chance: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance.
Independiente or drawIndependiente or RiestraDraw or Riestra
−75085%−35074%+12041%

Asian handicap4 sportsbooks

Asian handicap: each outcome's typical price and the books' fair chance, line by line.
HandicapIndependienteRiestra
IND −1.51 sportsbook+196no fair chance−253no fair chance
IND −0.75most posted−12152%−10248%
IND −0.52 sportsbooks−17559%+12041%

A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.

Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.

Compare 5 sportsbooks
Result (90 min)
SportsbookIndependienteDrawRiestraRead
BetMGM−160+250+4756 min ago
BetRivers−165+250+4406 min ago
Bovada−162+260+47510 min ago
DraftKings−160+260+4756 min ago
Pinnacle−162+260+4946 min ago
Total goals 2.5
SportsbookOver 2.5Under 2.5Read
BetRivers+132−1776 min ago
DraftKings+140−2006 min ago
Pinnacle+152−1916 min ago
Both teams to score
SportsbookYesNoRead
BetMGM+140−2006 min ago
BetRivers+120−1806 min ago
Pinnacle+151−1936 min ago
Draw no bet
SportsbookIndependienteRiestraRead
BetRivers−500+2806 min ago
Pinnacle−490+3466 min ago
Double chance
SportsbookIndependiente or drawIndependiente or RiestraDraw or RiestraRead
BetMGM−750−350+1206 min ago
BetRivers−770−375+1206 min ago
Pinnacle−735−346+1306 min ago
Asian handicap −0.75
SportsbookIndependiente −0.75Riestra +0.75Read
BetRivers−127−1086 min ago
Bovada−118−10210 min ago
Pinnacle−121+1026 min ago

Each sportsbook's own price, as of 12:07 PM ET.

Side by side

this season (2026), every competition, at 90 minutes
INDWhatRIE
Independiente, 0W 3D 2L:
  1. Lost 1–4 at home to Instituto (Córdoba), Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 2
  2. Drew 0–0 away to Talleres (Córdoba), Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 11
  3. Drew 1–1 away to Racing Club, Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 18
  4. Lost 0–1 at home to Boca Juniors, Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 25
  5. Drew 1–1 away to Defensa y Justicia, Argentina Liga Profesional, Nov 2
Last 5 · oldest to newest
Riestra, 0W 2D 3L:
  1. Drew 1–1 at home to Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero), Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 5
  2. Lost 0–1 away to San Lorenzo, Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 11
  3. Drew 1–1 at home to Unión (Santa Fe), Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 19
  4. Lost 0–1 away to Instituto (Córdoba), Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 26
  5. Lost 0–3 at home to Talleres (Córdoba), Argentina Liga Profesional, Oct 31
11–11–10, 32 gamesWon–drawn–lost3–14–14, 31 games
1.2, 32 gamesGoals scored a game0.5, 31 games
1.2, 32 gamesGoals allowed a game0.9, 31 games
13.2, 32 games; allowed 11.8Shots a game10.4, 31 games; allowed 11.7
4.0, 32 games; allowed 3.8Shots on target a game3.4, 31 games; allowed 4.1
51%, 32 gamesPossession36%, 31 games
5.6, 32 games; allowed 4.5Corners a game3.7, 31 games; allowed 4.4
11.4, 32 games; allowed 13.3Fouls a game16.4, 31 games; allowed 10.5
2.3, 32 games; allowed 2.1Yellow cards a game3.2, 31 games; allowed 2.1

ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.

How the prices moved

the typical price since our first read, each outcome

Result (90 min)

Independiente −159 → −162 since first seen

  • Independiente−159 → −162
  • Draw+260 → +260
  • Riestra+475 → +475

Both teams to score

Yes +116 → +140 since first seen

  • Yes+116 → +140
  • No−191 → −193

Draw no bet

Riestra +240 → +280 since first seen

  • Independiente−482 → −500
  • Riestra+240 → +280

Double chance

Draw or Riestra +102 → +120 since first seen

  • Independiente or draw−720 → −750
  • Independiente or Riestra−341 → −350
  • Draw or Riestra+102 → +120

Player lines

84 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each line

Research, not picks

To score31

  1. Santiago MontielIND · DOver 0.5 goals14% of 71+2503 sportsbooks
  2. Matías AbaldoIND · FOver 0.5 goals16% of 57+2803 sportsbooks
  3. Iván MoralesIND · FOver 0.5 goals11% of 76+2903 sportsbooks
  4. Chimy ÁvilaIND · FOver 0.5 goals5% of 62+3403 sportsbooks
  5. Nicolás BenegasRIE · FOver 0.5 goals11% of 71+5103 sportsbooks
  6. Maximiliano MezaIND · FOver 0.5 goals20% of 50+5503 sportsbooks
Every goalscorer line in Props, this game

Assists9

  1. Santiago MontielIND · DOver 0.5 assists17% of 71+2403 sportsbooks
  2. Matías AbaldoIND · FOver 0.5 assists9% of 57+3203 sportsbooks
  3. Chimy ÁvilaIND · FOver 0.5 assists3% of 62+4103 sportsbooks
  4. Luciano CabralIND · MOver 0.5 assists11% of 76+4753 sportsbooks
  5. Iván MoralesIND · FOver 0.5 assists4% of 76+4803 sportsbooks
  6. Alexander DíazRIE · FOver 0.5 assists7% of 69+5003 sportsbooks
Every assists line in Props, this game

Goals + Assists1

  1. Alexander DíazRIE · FOver 0.5 goals + assists16% of 69+2903 sportsbooks
Every goals + assists line in Props, this game

Shots on Target19

  1. Iván MoralesIND · FOver 0.5 shots on target36% of 74−1623 sportsbooks
  2. Matías AbaldoIND · FOver 0.5 shots on target42% of 57−1593 sportsbooks
  3. Chimy ÁvilaIND · FOver 0.5 shots on target24% of 62−1553 sportsbooks
  4. Maximiliano MezaIND · FOver 0.5 shots on target35% of 49−1033 sportsbooks5 straight
  5. Nicolás BenegasRIE · FOver 0.5 shots on target31% of 71+1003 sportsbooks
  6. Alexander DíazRIE · FOver 0.5 shots on target26% of 68+1203 sportsbooks
Every shots on target line in Props, this game
All 84 player lines in Props, this game